Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.081466 0.095607 0.111405 0.130352 0.152455 0.177420 0.207758
2025-12-21 0.060422 0.077979 0.099458 0.127641 0.163629 0.208033 0.266989
2025-12-28 0.048418 0.067978 0.093911 0.130746 0.181674 0.249573 0.346982
2026-01-04 0.040030 0.060671 0.090105 0.135022 0.201743 0.297115 0.443790
2026-01-11 0.033264 0.054086 0.085829 0.137553 0.219581 0.344502 0.549139
2026-01-18 0.027535 0.047780 0.080605 0.137432 0.233143 0.387627 0.655765
2026-01-25 0.022295 0.041113 0.073435 0.132638 0.238092 0.417737 0.746717
2026-02-01 0.018046 0.035233 0.066391 0.126557 0.239478 0.441762 0.831146
2026-02-08 0.015182 0.031268 0.061938 0.124154 0.246747 0.476862 0.940809
2026-02-15 0.012759 0.027644 0.057412 0.120682 0.251212 0.507250 1.046456
2026-02-22 0.011242 0.025546 0.055461 0.121879 0.264923 0.557274 1.198482
2026-03-01 0.009801 0.023310 0.052802 0.121073 0.274265 0.599862 1.342154
2026-03-08 0.008298 0.020717 0.049090 0.117748 0.278644 0.635062 1.481494
2026-03-15 0.007212 0.018876 0.046725 0.117068 0.288982 0.685327 1.664386
2026-03-22 0.006562 0.017965 0.046368 0.121109 0.311231 0.766546 1.934198
2026-03-29 0.006024 0.017228 0.046297 0.125875 0.336262 0.858878 2.248249
2026-04-05 0.005460 0.016296 0.045547 0.128766 0.357191 0.945124 2.563669
2026-04-12 0.004859 0.015120 0.043919 0.128996 0.371227 1.016666 2.854995
2026-04-19 0.004178 0.013550 0.040887 0.124705 0.372136 1.054314 3.063451
2026-04-26 0.003558 0.012017 0.037639 0.119115 0.368281 1.078516 3.239753
2026-05-03 0.003129 0.010987 0.035667 0.116934 0.374013 1.130510 3.505469
2026-05-10 0.002731 0.009965 0.033503 0.113713 0.375984 1.172157 3.749005
2026-05-17 0.002489 0.009421 0.032751 0.114877 0.391982 1.258369 4.144559